Research Desk
Daily briefings, weekly outlooks and technical forecasts across forex, commodities, indices and crypto — the same research our own desk starts the day with.
Today's Briefing
Three calls from the latest research cycle — the full archive and intraday updates live inside the client portal.
The Federal Reserve left its target range unchanged but softened its language on inflation persistence. Futures markets now price a strong probability of easing at the September meeting, keeping the dollar on the defensive against major pairs.
Sarah Mitchell, Head of Market Research · 4 min read
XAU/USD pushed toward fresh record territory as softer US yields met persistent central-bank buying. Analysts note that pullbacks have been shallow, with dip buyers active at every retest of prior support zones.
Leila Haddad, Commodities & Macro Analyst · 3 min read
Brent and WTI found a floor after the latest OPEC+ statement reaffirmed voluntary output curbs into the fourth quarter. Traders are watching summer demand data and inventory draws for the next directional cue in energy CFDs.
Leila Haddad, Commodities & Macro Analyst · 4 min read
Weekly Outlook
Monetary policy remains the market's centre of gravity. With the Federal Reserve holding rates steady but leaning noticeably softer, every inflation print and labour-market release is now a live event for the dollar. Traders should expect two-way volatility around US data this week: a cool reading reinforces the easing path and pressures the greenback, while any upside surprise forces a rapid repricing across the majors. EUR/USD and GBP/USD remain the cleanest expressions of the theme, with sterling additionally supported by a patient Bank of England.
In commodities, gold continues to command attention. The combination of softer real yields, persistent central-bank accumulation and geopolitical hedging has kept XAU/USD in a structural uptrend, and dips toward prior breakout zones keep finding buyers. The tactical question is not direction but entry — chasing strength has been punished less than usual, yet disciplined traders will wait for pullbacks to defined support before adding exposure.
Oil sits at the other end of the conviction spectrum. OPEC+ supply discipline has put a floor under Brent and WTI, but soft global manufacturing data caps rallies, leaving crude range-bound and reactive to inventory numbers. Range strategies with tight invalidation have outperformed trend-following here. Whatever the instrument, the desk's rule is unchanged: define your risk before the release, not after it.
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A concise pre-London briefing every trading day: overnight moves, the session's key levels and the releases that could move the majors.
Published every Sunday — the macro themes, central bank meetings and data prints that will set the tone for the week ahead.
Selective, fully-reasoned setups with defined entries, invalidation levels and targets — quality over quantity, always with the risk stated first.
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